Abstract
Abundance indices are crucial components of fishery stock assessments because theyprovide a time series of relative abundance for estimating absolute stock size, derived from the response of relative indices to the absolute magnitude of fishery removals. Selectivity is the relative vulnerability to a fishery or fishery-independent survey for each species or demographic group within a species (e.g., size or age class). In an age-based assessment model, selectivity parameters are needed to relate observed stock indices to model estimates of abundance at age. Thus, selectivity estimates must be carefully modeled to ensure an accurate depiction of the stock’s age structure. The objectives of this research are to improve the accuracy and utilization of indices in fisheries stock assessment models by understanding the effect of alternative approaches to estimating index selectivity. Chapter One provides a general introduction to the topic and a review of the relevant literature. Chapter Two involves splitting a fisheryindependent survey into two series to account for vessel and methodological changes by estimating distinct catchability and selectivity parameters for each series. Results indicated improvement in model performance for stocks with sufficient contrast in the new index, and no improvement for stocks with limited years of data or contrast in the recent indices. Chapter Three involves simulation cross-testing as a method to evaluate performance of assessments that assume a single index series that is calibrated for changes in survey technology vs. assuming separate indices in stock assessment models. Results from this chapter suggest that the consequences of assuming a split when there truly wasn’t one were not severe, but that assuming there wasn’t a split when there truly was one can produce significant biases in model results. Chapter Four develops fleet-structured assessment models to improve selectivity estimates for fishery and the fishery-dependent indices. Splitting catch into fleets improves selectivity estimates for respective CPUE indices, but robust catch-at-age data is desirable for fleets that make up a large portion of the total catch. This work examines the effects of fleet structure and survey system changes on assessment model performance and sensitivity. It will also emphasize the importance of selectivity estimates and advance understanding of effective abundance index utilization in stock assessments.